Noahpinion
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Economics and other interesting stuff
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The second Trump presidency is a world-historic failure
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3 Oct 2026
How did Trump fumble so badly?
Roundup #89: It isn’t X, it’s Y
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1 Oct 2026
AI risk; Reindustrialization; The rent crisis; AI and jobs; Mass deportation; Chinese investment; Cyber risk
Stop spending money on smaller classes
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28 Sep 2026
We’ve spent decades raising teacher quantity when we should have been raising quality.
Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?
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27 Sep 2026
Ramez Naam gives a skeptic’s take on Recursive Self-Improvement.
The problem(s) with utilitarianism
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22 Sep 2026
Our favorite moral philosophy is about to come under increasing strain.
Roundup #88: Is it time to panic yet?
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18 Sep 2026
AI risk; AI and growth; AI and Saas; Rich people; Christians vs. Nazis; Japanese culture; State capacity; City size
The anti-American Right
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16 Sep 2026
Bo French’s rightist movement is a dead end for our nation. Fortunately, it’s beatable.
Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussion
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14 Sep 2026
We need to make skeptics properly scared. And we need to make CHINA properly scared.
Liberalism needs a new philosophy of immigration
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9 Sep 2026
We need to make a principled stand instead of a tactical retreat.
AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobs
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7 Sep 2026
Happy Labor Day!! Your labor is still valuable.
America is still beating China in the AI race
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5 Sep 2026
The U.S. is staying ahead, though the costs of that lead are still unknown.
Why you won’t get a flying car
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3 Sep 2026
A review of “Where is My Flying Car?”, by J. Storrs Hall, and some other thoughts on the future of technology.
Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!
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1 Sep 2026
The Hugging Face attack; TV and loneliness; Leftist antisemitism; Another Acemoglu paper; The Electric Revolution
In defense of Asian American art
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30 Aug 2026
People are creating some very interesting and original stuff!
The death of Market Street
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26 Aug 2026
How San Francisco turned its most iconic street into a giant empty scar.
What if our biggest problems aren’t economic?
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24 Aug 2026
A new social challenge for a new century.
Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?
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22 Aug 2026
No, but there are still reasons for concern.
Economists should be worried about birth rates
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19 Aug 2026
Don’t be so quick to dismiss the threat of an aging, declining population.
The end of an era for China's economy
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16 Aug 2026
Zhu Rongji's formula won't work anymore. But that doesn't mean Xi Jinping's will work either.
23 low-regret recommendations for AI policy
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14 Aug 2026
A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan, with Tao Burga, Arthur Tellis, Ben Schifman, Jonah Weinbaum, and Olivia Scharfman
Roundup #86: Unintended consequences
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12 Aug 2026
The MAGA decline; The labor share decline; OPTs and American jobs; AI and Indian outsourcing; Drug users; AI and productivity; Botswana; Interracial Marriage; AI writing
The poverty of anti-tech thought
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11 Aug 2026
Some of my colleagues have been led into an intellectual cul-de-sac.
Banning data centers would blow up the U.S. economy
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8 Aug 2026
There's one thing keeping us afloat right now, and people want to get rid of it.
The end of the age of heroes
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4 Aug 2026
AI will soon be better at math than any human. What does that mean?
Slopulism is taking over America
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2 Aug 2026
Sometimes bad populist ideas are just a mistake; sometimes they're being promoted for ideological reasons.
Why did South Korean stocks just crash?
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30 Jul 2026
The AI boom creates a lot of uncertainty.
Roundup #85: Most policy is also industrial policy
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28 Jul 2026
Trump and science; U.S. national debt; Europe and software; America and trains; China and metal refining; Indian women; Murder
What will more intelligence actually do for us?
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26 Jul 2026
A lot, actually. But it won't look quite like what humans do with our intelligence.
We asked too much of the American university
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24 Jul 2026
Our one remaining functional institution is going downhill.
Who was the worst monster of the 20th century?
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22 Jul 2026
And who is the worst monster of the 21st?
The UK is a cautionary tale for the U.S.
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20 Jul 2026
Learning from Britain's missteps doesn't mean looking down on them.
America's political economy is pretty bleak right now
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18 Jul 2026
We can get some good things done, but major efforts will be difficult with our divided politics.
Why I didn't sign the "We Must Act Now" statement (yet)
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15 Jul 2026
I'd like to know exactly what the actions are.
The American suburbs are better than you think
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13 Jul 2026
They're not my personal cup of tea, but there are good reasons people like them.
I have never been working class
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12 Jul 2026
Unlike some American elites, I actually understand this fact.
MAGA's attack on science is even worse than it looks
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10 Jul 2026
The engine that powered history's greatest nation is in danger.
JD Vance's crusade against GDP is wrong and bad
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8 Jul 2026
Making Americans poorer won't make our society better.
No, China did not manage to avoid a crash
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6 Jul 2026
But there are still things we can learn from how they manage their macroeconomy.
