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Noahpinion

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Economics and other interesting stuff

Where to eat in San Francisco

18 Aug 2026

Part 1 of my personal recommendations.

The end of an era for China's economy

16 Aug 2026

Zhu Rongji's formula won't work anymore. But that doesn't mean Xi Jinping's will work either.

23 low-regret recommendations for AI policy

14 Aug 2026

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan, with Tao Burga, Arthur Tellis, Ben Schifman, Jonah Weinbaum, and Olivia Scharfman

Roundup #86: Unintended consequences

12 Aug 2026

The MAGA decline; The labor share decline; OPTs and American jobs; AI and Indian outsourcing; Drug users; AI and productivity; Botswana; Interracial Marriage; AI writing

The poverty of anti-tech thought

11 Aug 2026

Some of my colleagues have been led into an intellectual cul-de-sac.

Should we "pace" AI self-improvement?

9 Aug 2026

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan.

Banning data centers would blow up the U.S. economy

8 Aug 2026

There's one thing keeping us afloat right now, and people want to get rid of it.

Are the Democrats going to save us this time?

6 Aug 2026

And if not, what do we do?

The end of the age of heroes

4 Aug 2026

AI will soon be better at math than any human. What does that mean?

Slopulism is taking over America

2 Aug 2026

Sometimes bad populist ideas are just a mistake; sometimes they're being promoted for ideological reasons.

Why did South Korean stocks just crash?

30 Jul 2026

The AI boom creates a lot of uncertainty.

Roundup #85: Most policy is also industrial policy

28 Jul 2026

Trump and science; U.S. national debt; Europe and software; America and trains; China and metal refining; Indian women; Murder

What will more intelligence actually do for us?

26 Jul 2026

A lot, actually. But it won't look quite like what humans do with our intelligence.

We asked too much of the American university

24 Jul 2026

Our one remaining functional institution is going downhill.

Who was the worst monster of the 20th century?

22 Jul 2026

And who is the worst monster of the 21st?

The UK is a cautionary tale for the U.S.

20 Jul 2026

Learning from Britain's missteps doesn't mean looking down on them.

America's political economy is pretty bleak right now

18 Jul 2026

We can get some good things done, but major efforts will be difficult with our divided politics.

Book Review: "Power and Progress"

17 Jul 2026

A timely repost.

Why I didn't sign the "We Must Act Now" statement (yet)

15 Jul 2026

I'd like to know exactly what the actions are.

The American suburbs are better than you think

13 Jul 2026

They're not my personal cup of tea, but there are good reasons people like them.

I have never been working class

12 Jul 2026

Unlike some American elites, I actually understand this fact.

MAGA's attack on science is even worse than it looks

10 Jul 2026

The engine that powered history's greatest nation is in danger.

JD Vance's crusade against GDP is wrong and bad

8 Jul 2026

Making Americans poorer won't make our society better.

No, China did not manage to avoid a crash

6 Jul 2026

But there are still things we can learn from how they manage their macroeconomy.

The American age was the human age

4 Jul 2026

Reflections on 250 years.

Stop screeching about immigration, and get smart about it

2 Jul 2026

The culture war is making it impossible for us to deal with declining population.

Roundup #84: Bears on bikes

1 Jul 2026

Vibecession (or not); AI depolarization; Existential AI risk; Millennials vs. Boomers; Deindustrialization; Russian oil revenue; GLP-1s; AI and jobs