Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026
Valid 071200Z - 121200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Based on the latest medium-range guidance, it appears that
considerable amplification within the flow across the mid- and
subtropical latitudes of the Pacific during this period may lead to
the evolution of an increasingly prominent high becoming centered
near or to the northeast of the Four Corners by early next weekend.
Surrounding ridging may encompass much of the Intermountain West
through Great Plains, as far north as the Canadian Prairies.
Associated monsoonal moisture return into parts of the Southwest may
be accompanied by increasing convective potential that could include
evolving clusters capable of producing strong to severe wind gusts.
However, much as will likely remain the case in preceding days
across and east of the Rockies, organized severe weather potential,
if any, will be strongly influenced by sub-synoptic developments yet
to evolve, and with low predictability at this extended time frame.
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