Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
ARIZONA...NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN COLORADO...AND EASTERN
UTAH...
...Synopsis...
Amid persistent longwave troughing centered over the Intermountain
West, an embedded shortwave trough will pivot northeastward across
portions of the Great Basin and Colorado River Valley on Tuesday.
With several preceding days of dry/breezy conditions across the
region, this will continue to support expansive fire weather
concerns across portions of the Great Basin/Southwest.
...Four Corners region into eastern Utah/western Colorado...
As the aforementioned shortwave rounds the base of the longer
wavelength trough positioned across the West, a mid-level jet streak
is forecast to overspread the Four Corners/Colorado Plateau. Latest
high-res and ensemble guidance suggests that this will support a
corridor of enhanced (sustained 20-25 mph with occasional gusts of
30-35 mph) south-southwesterly winds from northeastern
Arizona/northwestern New Mexico into eastern Utah and western
Colorado amid minimum RH values of 5-10%. With several days of
dry/breezy conditions across the region, ERCs span from the 80th to
98th percentile (locally greater). This combination of dry/receptive
fuels and wind/RH conditions is expected to support critical fire
weather conditions across portions of the Four Corners region and
Colorado Plateau. A broader area of elevated fire weather concerns
is forecast across adjacent regions of the Great Basin, Southwest,
and the immediate lee of the Sangre de Cristos.
..Chalmers.. 06/29/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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