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Honor Among Thieves: Anja Shortland and Ransomware

The Answer Is Transaction Costs·

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A talk with Dr Anya Shortland about the economics of ransomware and the gray-zone institutions that let extortion markets function when nobody can truly enforce trust. We dig into how cyber insurance quietly becomes a form of governance, why data leaks change the game, and what national security risks emerge as everything gets connected. 
• criminal markets that sit between legal firms and underworld gangs 
• insurance as governance through protocols, repeat play, and incident response packages 
• why victims amplify risk when they throw money at crises 
• the origin story of early ransomware and the transaction costs that made it fail 
• step-by-step ransomware mechanics from phishing to exfiltration to encryption 
• how gangs price ransoms by reading cash flow and insurance certificates 
• leak sites, privacy regulation, and third-party liability as bargaining leverage 
• why cyber insurance is fragmented and slow to enforce security standards 
• deductibles, coverage caps, and market hardening that push better cybersecurity 
• AI-enabled phishing and the asymmetric arms race between attackers and defenders 
• state-linked ransomware, impunity jurisdictions, and critical infrastructure threats 
• efficiency versus resilience in smart cities and the Internet of Things 

Anja Shortland at Kings College London

Links mentioned in podcast:

Alex Danco's pirate puzzle

Pete Leeson's book, The Invisible Hook

David Deutsch's book, The Beginning of Infinity

If you have questions or comments, or want to suggest a future topic, email the show at taitc.email@gmail.com !

You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz